Building Japan’s Offshore Wind Industry: Actions required of both public and private sectors in light of national vision

2021.7.2

Sustainability DivisionChihiro Terasawa

Addressing climate change is an urgent priority for the international community. In Japan, the government has announced targets to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050 such as a 46% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2030. Analysists at the Mitsubishi Research Institute point to three keys to Japan's 2050 carbon neutrality: (1) behavioral changes on the demand side, (2) early zero emissions from the electricity sector, and (3) promotion of strategic innovations. In a country surrounded by sea, offshore wind represents an important source of power for achieving (2) zero emission from the electricity sector.

In December 2020, the Japanese government announced the Vision for Offshore Wind Power Industry (1st) 1 featuring three targets to build the industry. We, the Mitsubishi Research Institute, have outlined below the focus areas for subsequent actions by both the public and private sectors in order to achieve these targets and help accelerate the introduction of offshore wind to Japan.

The Offshore Wind Industry Vision : Public-private commitment toward three targets

In December 2020, the Public-Private Council on Enhancement of Industrial Competitiveness for Offshore Wind Power Generation2 (the Council) announced the Vision for Offshore Wind Power Industry (1st), presenting a series of measures that the public and private sectors must pursue in unison to promote the introduction of offshore wind and enhance its competitiveness as an industry.

The vision is characterized by its three targets (Figure 1). The vision clearly states that the Government of Japan and the wind power industry should achieve these three targets as a commitment by both the public and private sectors, with the former focusing on the introduction targets and the latter focusing on the Japan content and cost reduction targets. The vision represents significant progress, in particular, that it presents specific targets for the introduction of offshore wind: 10 GW by 2030 and 30–45 GW by 2040. Investment in the Japanese market has seen an uptick from both Japanese and international companies following announcement of the vision.
Figure 1: Three targets set in Offshore Wind Industry Vision (1st)
Figure 1: Three targets set in Offshore Wind Industry Vision (1st)
Source: Created by Mitsubishi Research Institute, Inc. from Vision for Offshore Wind Power Industry (1st)

Main points and associated issues of the three targets

1. Introduction Target

The introduction target uses the term introduction, but this case is not limited to completed offshore wind projects; in calculating the 2030 and 2040 figures, the target includes projects that are planned and have received recognition by the government. This fact has potential for misunderstanding among parties involved. Achieving this target alone will not make a meaningful contribution to the attainment of the goal of 46% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2030; additional measures will be required to put the various projects formed into operation as early as possible.

2. Japan Content Target

Japan content refers to the percent of domestically procured products and services across the entire wind-power generation lifecycle; the target is set at achieving 60% Japan content. Some media mistakenly reported that the target aims to achieve domestic manufacture of 60% of the parts of wind turbines. However, the scope of this target goes beyond manufacturing to include products and services throughout the entire wind-power project life cycle such as: surveys, manufacturing, construction, operation, maintenance, and decomissioning. Manufacturing involves cost optimization of the supply chain on a global level, and the same applies to offshore wind turbines. Misconceptions that this target aims to increase domestic procurement in manufacturing alone threaten to disrupt the current, optimized supply chain.

3. Cost Reduction Target

The vision lacks a clear definition of power-generation costs (LCOE). Wider government discourse on power-generation cost implies that this target refers to the cost of energy; this differs from other definitions such as tender price, which takes into account fair profits for operators on top of the cost of energy itself.


These considerations must be taken into account when assessing progress toward the targets, and all discussion should be based on the correct understanding and accurate definitions.

Focus Areas for Both the Public and Private Sectors

We have identified the following areas for both the public and private sectors to focus on in order to ensure that the three targets are achieved and the introduction of offshore wind accelerated (Figure 2).

In order to achieve the introduction and cost reduction targets, it is important to put as many projects as possible into operation by 2030 and speed up the introduction of floating offshore wind3 in addition to bottom-fixed offshore wind. Covering initial rises in costs for operators is a prerequisite to building the domestic industry and must be covered through a government program; government auction operations must also take into account the appropriate balance of cost-reduction and industry-building measures. In order to achieve the Japan content target, the government and industry must constantly monitor progress and put measures into place at the proper time that facilitate the development of both the industry and its workforce.
Figure 2: Focus areas for both the public and private sectors to accelerate the introduction of offshore wind
Figure 2: Focus areas for both the public and private sectors to accelerate the introduction of offshore wind
* Committee for the Review of the Master Plan for Cross-regional Interconnected Grids and Rules on the Use of Grids: “Interim Report on the Discussion on the Master Plan”.
https://www.occto.or.jp/iinkai/masutapuran/2021/files/masuta_chukan.pdf (Accessed: June 15, 2021)
† In the UK, the government has set a target of increasing domestic content (UK content) to 60% by 2040 and has a domestic content reporting system in operation.

Source: Mitsubishi Research Institute, Inc.

Ensuring the Steady Growth of Offshore Wind Power

With the announcement of the Vision for Offshore Wind Power Industry (1st) and its three targets, Japan has set off for the full-fledged introduction of offshore wind. In order to achieve steady growth of offshore wind, Japan must work steadily on the issues discussed above, while also promoting medium- to long-term initiatives, such as setting out the specifics of the 2050 introduction target keeping carbon neutrality in mind.

Meanwhile, stable power supply should also be kept in mind as an integral step in making offshore wind a main source of power. Japan needs to consider a mechanism that supports stable power supply. Europe offers insightful precedent to which Japan can refer such as the formation of a platform to share operational data to improve the performance and reliability of offshore wind farms4.

In order to implement these initiatives in a timely manner, the Council must continue regular discussion with a sense of urgency on improvements, details, and implementation of measures. We have been supporting discussion at the Council through our work on associated projects. We have also strengthened our partnership with BVG Associates, a firm in the UK with extensive achievements in the field of offshore wind power.5 As a link between the public and private sectors, we will strive to contribute to the growth and development of the offshore wind power market, through discussion spanning both the public and private sectors.

1:Public-Private Council on Enhancement of Industrial Competitiveness for Offshore Wind Power Generation. “Vision for Offshore Wind Power Industry (1st)”.
https://www.meti.go.jp/shingikai/energy_environment/yojo_furyoku/pdf/002_02_e02_01.pdf (Accessed: June 14, 2021)

2:Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry Public-Private Council on Enhancement of Industrial Competitiveness for Offshore Wind Power Generation
https://www.meti.go.jp/shingikai/energy_environment/yojo_furyoku/index.html (Accessed: June 14, 2021)

3:There are two types of offshore wind turbines: bottom-fixed and floating. A bottom-fixed turbine is a power generation facility in which a turbine is mounted on top of a foundation which is fixed onto the seabed. Almost all offshore wind farms that are currently in commercial operation in Europe employ bottom-fixed turbines. A floating turbine, meanwhile, is a power generation facility which has a turbine mounted on a floating structure which is fixed onto the seabed with mooring ropes and anchors.

4:In the UK, a data sharing platform called SPARTA has been established and is in operation with the aim to increase operational performance, reduce cost, and improve reliability of offshore wind farms. Formed based on the partnership between power producers and the national government, SPARTA is designed to promote data sharing among operators.
SPARTA
https://www.sparta-offshore.com/SpartaHome (Accessed: June 15, 2021)

5:MRI news release “Mitsubishi Research Institute Signs Memorandum of Understanding with BVG Associates” (May 11, 2021)